LogoSmall.jpgVenezuela COVID-19 Forecast    Rabbit1.gifRabbit1.gifRabbit1.gif     <<Prev    Next>>     

 

 

Worldwide COVID-19 Status
visit our World profile page

 

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Things you might need
if you get Coronavirus:

 

TRANSMISSION RATE (R0)

 

ECONOMIC RECOVERY POTENTIAL

 

SEASONALITY – POPULATION – Risk of Dying

 

TRAVEL ADVISORY (MODERATE RECOVERY)

 

Pulse Oximeter – People do not realize they are not getting enough oxygen.  They don’t struggle to breathe.  But blood oxygen plummets into low 80s or 70s and they are too far gone before seeking help.  Read reviews and get one that is reliable and accurate.

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These are available in most drug stores, or by mail order:

·         Low priced, good review

 

Also useful at high altitude, if you have pneumonia, etc.

 

MORTALITY TREND

Venezuela appears not to be reporting mortality data

 

 

MODERATELY PACED UNLOCK – deaths & economic cost 2nd line

 

 

 

 

Non-contact temperature gun – This device is the modern way to take anyone’s temperature.  Fast and if you get a good one, accurate.

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Also available in most drug stores, or by mail order: 

·         Lowest priced 5-star review we could find

 

 

SLOW UNLOCK (vaccine starting Dec. 1, 2020)

 

 

SLOW UNLOCK (vaccine starting April 1, 2021)

 

 

 

Humidifier – COVID-19 spreads much faster in low humidity.  If you live in a desert, or a cold climate where heating reduces humidity, and someone in your household is sick, you’ve probably already thought of wearing masks and gloves.  But did you think if using a humidifier?  Be sure to get a good one.

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Usually available in department or discount stores, mail order:

This one has a 5-star rating, for large rooms, quiet, as low a price as any (I just bought one, in winter may sell out)


IHME PROJECTION

 

 

 

 

Not Available

 

SUMMARY

 

Venezuela is likely stable.  If they haven’t cracked under all the pressure applied over the last few years, they aren’t going to.

Mortality data is unavailable.  We are using the same assumptions as for the rest of the world.

Venezuela has little seasonality factor which makes them compare unfavorable to northern hemisphere countries currently getting a break from summer.

Without seasonal perturbation what happens in Venezuela is completely up to Venezuelans.

There is extremely high travel risk now but it will decline to nothing by early September.

IHME is not projecting Venezuela.  We are a bit braver.

Observation:  VERY FAST RECOVERY.  Venezuela gets the 3-rabbits award for the fastest recovery of any nation on Earth.  They will be completely and utterly immune to COVID without 10 weeks or less. 

Their economic recovery is also the highest we’ve seen.  They need it.  We cannot disagree with Venezuela’s strategy.  Less than 5000 deaths buys them out of COVID altogether.  This is only about 3% of Venezuela’s annual deaths.  They will hardly notice.

 

 

 

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