Shuler Research
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COVID-19 Tracking Charts and Partial Unlock Strategy (click for news/details)
We provide a downloadable model with much more insight than the usual websites that cover ever locality. Look at some of the available profiles.  If you want to do your state or country, the data is pre-loaded in the spreadsheet.  Click the link about and scroll to the download.  If you want to do a US county, we provide three examples, and instructions in the user guide.  All you have to do is extract the data from us-counties.csv, and set up a few parameters like mortality and case ratio (we tell you how to figure these).  Takes about 20 minutes.

At the above link we have:
  • Detailed profiles with personal risk and minimum deaths unlock scenarios for about 30 key USA & World regions
  • with downloadable model
  • plus collection of the most useful articles from
    • how you really get COVID-19 to
    • how excess washing has triggered an epidemic of eczema and
    • how to treat it.
From US Profile (click here for full profile):
  • The forecast for US cases going forward is nearly flat through the end of the year when vaccination will begin:  (click for full US profile, updated 6/23) - only my charts give you the case growth threshold (yellow) along with the current and projected unlock level (green) and even projected vaccine rate (dot-dash) on the same chart.
Everything you want to know about cases trajectory constraints
  • The most insight into future trends is through an R0 tracking chart:
 
US Economic Recovery



Helping the World recover from COVID faster AND safer!
Country/State Projections Through 2021

World:, ArgentinaAlert - see warning on country profile page, Bangladesh,  Brazil ,Czech_Republic, China, Colombia, IndiaIndia COVID-19 analysis,Lebanon, Germany, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Paraguay, Peru, Russia , Spain, USUSA COVID-19 analysis, Venezuela.



US States/Counties: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, CaliforniaEconomic warning for California, Los Angeles Co., Colorado, Florida, Mississippi, LafayetteCo(Oxford), NY , South_Dakota,Texas ,HarrisCounty(Houston), Washington.



US Personal Risk Levels



 

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Career Affiliation:   NASA / Johnson Space Center - NASA profile
ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6129-6867


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Second OpinionABOUT ShulerResearch.org: 
Robert Shuler is the author of over 50 peer reviewed technical papers, a book on Crash Rate Theory and two books on economics.  He is retired from a 45 year career in advanced projects and systems reliability at NASA and continues select areas of research related to the future of society.  He lives in Texas most of the time, likes to visit his wife's relatives in Siberia, and also publishes music arrangements and has a backlog of ideas for novels if the time ever can be found..