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![]() Ukraine Nuclear Risk: US Opinion Poll Full results 4/11/2022 click here
Conducted for ShulerResearch by Greg Ling, market research specialist 500 US consumer samples -- Margin of error 4% You can participate in a separately tallied survey here Discussion / Highlights:
Q1 - Suggests 55% would not endure nuclear war for any country but their own. However, Q3 which asks about the type of response and offers "proportional" and non-nuclear alternatives has only 15% taking the "my country only" position. Q2 - What is the risk Russia would attack US with nukes if it loses Donbas or Crimea? ![]() Q3 - What type of response would you prefer: ![]() Q3 - Is the greater risk country-by-country takeovers by nuclear autocracies, or confronting and stopping Russia and Putin now? ![]() Analysis:
If an influencer or politician poses question 1 without qualifying that
the action is low risk (Q2), that proportional and non-nuclear
responses are available (Q3) or that there is a greater risk from not
confronting the opponent (Q4) then a person may give an answer that is
not a genuine reflection of their full judgment. They may even be
induced to voting in an irrational manner. Always consider what
influencers and politicians are "leaving out."
A second interesting point is that right wing or "Trump" Republicans, and Fox News, will typically play up the fear of nuclear war (tending toward a Q1 statement of the problem, though not necessarily Trump himself who casts things in terms of his relationship with a war criminal leader of Russia). And President Biden uses the Q1 strategy also, "Direct conflict between NATO and Russia would be World War 3" - The Hill March 11, 2022. Given that 65% view continued takeovers as higher risk, and 75% view nuclear escalation in the event of Russia being kicked entirely out of Ukraine as low to very low, and 60% (at right) favor increased or direct support for Ukraine, these two political positions being the same doesn't make sense. Ukraine seems to have formed a new middle coalition in American politics between moderate Democrats and Republicans. That is a hopeful sign. Though it might not be in time to help Ukraine. Another option on Q2 reveals that even if NATO causes loss of Russian ships and missile launchers directly, risk of nuclear escalation is still in the very low to medium range. ![]() Important
and Recent Papers
Space-Time Diagrams Lead to False Paradoxes Cite as Shuler, R. (2022) Space-Time Diagrams Lead to False Paradoxes. Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics, 10, 3804-3813. doi: 10.4236/jamp.2022.1012252. This paper provides a clear analysis of how hypothetical concepts not allowed in Special Relativity should be treated and exposes hidden assumptions in space-time diagrams used on YouTube, where some prominent physicists have taken to publishing on popular topics that may not survive peer review. Such casual graphical treatment conceals the fact that space-time diagrams provide only for the Einstein synchronization convention for all observers, not the many other valid synchronization protocols, and also obscure that relativity’s equality of reference frames is rebutted if concepts outside relativity, such as instant communication, are introduced. These omissions of unconscious assumptions have been used to “prove” the existence of block time and time travel or time paradoxes. We will show the contradictory assumptions amount to assuming time travel, rather than the more mundane need to adjust synchronization conventions. We further show a new result that the use of the space-time diagrams as proposed by these “explainers” leads to discontinuities in which a differential change in communication speed leads to a sudden jump from present to long-past arrival time, strongly suggesting invalidity of the method. Deleterious Behaviorally Transmitted Traits in Equilibrium (preprint - preprints.org, Jan. 2021) This paper analyzes equilibrium between gene-meme and meme-meme competing propagators and consider whether a meme is linked to reproduction (e.g. vertical culture transmission), or not. We employ a genetic component and combined meme induced fitness components for hosts, while memes have replication factors to distinguish from what's good for the host (fitness). Emergence of Objective Reality in an Irreversible Friend thought Experiment Cite as Shuler, R.L. (2021) Emergence of Objective Reality in an Irreversible Friend Thought Experiment, Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics, 9(8), Aug. DOI: 10.4236/jamp.2021.98128 Recently some photon models of a Wigner's friend experiment have led investigators to suggest objective reality does not exist, and to publish non-academic articles with such claims. The public is not equipped to evaluate the severe limitations of these experiments. This paper analyzes the issues with statements about objective reality, defining what it means to participants as opposed to QM researchers, and proposing more difficult thought experiments that explicitly test for objectivity from the participant standpoint. Partial Unlock for COVID-19-Like Epidemics Can Save 1 - 3 Million Lives Worldwide (Open Journal of Epidemiology, Vol.10 No.3, August 2020, DOI: 10.4236/ojepi.2020.103024) A large percentage of deaths in an epidemic or pandemic can be due to overshoot of population (herd) immunity, either from the initial peak or from planned or unplanned exit from lockdown or social distancing conditions. We study partial unlock or reopening interaction with seasonal effects in a managed epidemic to quantify overshoot effects on small and large unlock steps and discover robust strategies for reducing overshoot. Wealth-relative effects in cooperation games (J. Heliyon, 5, 12, Dec. 2019) This paper investigates cooperation games in which poor agents do not benefit from cooperation with wealthy agents. They instead benefit from considering wealth relative to decision payoffs of fitness or wealth. Wealth inhomogeneity applied to crash rate theory (J.Heliyon, 1, 3, Nov 2015) - A crash rate theory based on corporate economic utility maximization is applied to individual behavior in U.S. and German motorway death rates, by using wealth inhomogeneity data in ten-percentile bins to account for variations of utility maximization in the population. A family of metric gravities With a new exact Schwarzschild method, a local space-time relation, strong-field verification targets, and the ability to promote field gravities to full metricity (The European Physical Journal Plus, 133: 158, April 2018) The goal of this paper is to take a completely fresh approach to metric gravity, in which the metric principle is strictly adhered to but its properties in local space-time are derived from conservation principles, not inferred from a global field equation. Entropy-Like State Counting Leads to Human Readable Four Color Map Theorem Proof (Pure and Applied Mathematics Journal. Vol. 7, No. 3, 2018, pp. 37-44. doi: 10.11648/j.pamj.20180703.12) The problem of how many colors are required for a planar map has been used as a focal point for discussions of the limits of human direct understanding vs. automated methods. It is important to continue to investigate until it is convincingly proved map coloration is an exemplary irreducible problem or until it is reduced. Meanwhile a new way of thinking about surfaces which hide N-dimensional volumes has arisen in physics employing entropy and the holographic principle. In this paper we define coloration entropy or flexibility as a count of the possible distinct colorations of a map (planar graph), and show how a guaranteed minimum coloration flexibility changes based on additions at a boundary of the map. Numerical Geodesic Approximation for Theoretical and Experimental Light Bending Analysis (Advances in Astrophysics, vol 2, no 1, pp 76-85, August 2016) This paper investigates a least-time (or fastest-path) two-point algorithm for numerically propagating a light ray in a gravitational field using anisotropic coordinate velocity and distant observer coordinates. Rather than imaging or ray tracing, the objective is to support analysis of fundamentals and to be able to find null geodesics in arbitrary metrics. Common pedagogical issues with de Broglie waves: moving double slits, composite mass and clock synchronization (Shuler, R.L., "Common Pedagogical Issues with De Broglie Waves: Moving Double Slits, Composite Mass, and Clock Synchronization," Physics Research International, Vol. 2015 (2015). - direct link to PDF) - This pedagogical paper suggests simple techniques for reference frame independent analysis of a moving double slit electron interference experiment, and a beat frequency heuristic for understanding de Broglie waves of composite particles such as neutrons and atoms. Leading Clocks Lag Phys. Ed., 51, 2 (2016) http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0031-9120/51/2/025005 - A new memory aid for teaching the relativity of simultaneity is given that puts it on a par with "time dilation" and "length contraction" for quick and easy problem visualization. The Twins-Clock Paradox History and Perspectives - (Journal of Modern Physics, July 2014 DOI: 10.4236/jmp.2014.512108) - The twins or clock paradox has been a subject of lively discussion and occasional disagreement among both relativists and the public for over 100 years, and continues to attract physicists who write papers giving new analyses or defending old ones, even though many physicists now consider the matter only of educational interest. (Our most popular paper with 5390 downloads!) A Fresh Spin on Newton's Bucket - (Published version in Physics Education vol. 50 no. 1 p. 88, 2015, short illustrated article suitable for high school or first semester physics students) An introduction to physics seems incomplete without the thought experiment known as Newton's Bucket. Doing so also introduces the famous historical critique of Newton by Mach, which inspired Einstein and spawned modern theories of gravity and the cosmos. |
![]() Civilian genocide victims in Bucha near Kyiv with hands tied for execution Ukraine Support: US Opinion Poll Full results 4/3/2022 click here Conducted for ShulerResearch by Greg Ling, market research specialist 500 US consumer samples -- Margin of error 4% You can participate in a separately tallied survey here Discussion / Highlights:
From this survey at least, the US public favors stronger action by significantly more than the margin of error. Political affiliation was not polled to avoid contaminating the survey with political feeling. However, the paltry 18% that felt domestic issues were unimportant in comparison does not seem to be reflected in media coverage and is a surprise. If this stays on voters' minds, it could be a single-issue deciding factor in May-June primaries, or even in fall elections. Based on all the results, and known divisions in the usually hawkish Republican party, it seems likely bipartisan support for stronger arming of Ukraine is high, possibly a majority in both parties. Home - All Papers Physics & Math - Economics & Society - Investing Radiation Tolerant CMOS - COVID-19 Patents - Software - Reviews Career Affiliation: NASA / Johnson Space Center - NASA profile ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6129-6867 Subscribe or Contact: ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Who
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