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Things
you might need Pulse Oximeter – People do not realize they are not getting enough oxygen. They don’t struggle to breathe. But blood oxygen plummets into low 80s or 70s and they are too far gone before seeking help. Read reviews and get one that is reliable and accurate. ![]() These are available in most drug stores, or by mail order: |
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Countries * US_States * US_Scenarios_Animation * Texas_Animation
* Mortality_Trend * Useful_Articles * School_Methods * Vaccines * Treatment
Measles
deaths in 2000 were comparable to Coronavirus deaths so far (half a
million) - but there was no
lockdown for Measles. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-50659893
Temp gun & Azithromycin success story! - I got the low-priced temp gun (see below left), calibrated it (on myself, 98.6) and pointed it at my son and wife. Bingo, Natasha had 99.8. It is so easy and fast. She was feeling bad, but it'd have been days before she bothered to take her temp the old way. It wasn't high enough to just notice. Turned away at Kelsey-Seybold and sent home without being offered a COVID test, we canceled the video appointment and went to Memorial-Herman Urgent Care where they tested her. It would take 3 days to get the result. How to get immediate treatment? I found Push Health which offered immediate prescriptions, and requested azithromycin, hydrochloroquine and dexamethasone. They gave 10 days of the antibiotic, said the quinine was banned for COVID treatment, and dexamethasone was for hospital use only. For a $64 consultation fee and $3 copay at CVS, we had azithromycin within an hour. The Push Health physician called to follow up, and advised to use the following two items. For some reason these are hard to find, and she said to order from Amazon. That, of course, takes a few days, so it might be wise to have them on hand: ![]() ![]() Natasha got a call today. Negative for COVID. However, she is well from whatever bug she had, sinus or bronchitis maybe, had a bad headache with it, and we believe it is due to the antibiotic. Get a temp gun. Even if you don't get COVID, it will come in handy! I've ordered a second one with a wider object temperature range for my son to play with. (most of them switch from body to object) The forecast for US cases going forward (click for full US profile, updated 6/27) |
Helping the World
recover from COVID faster AND safer!
This site provides second opinion COVID forecasts for personal use to plan trips, events, investments or self-isolation with accurate projections through 4/2021. It can tell you whether your country/region is on-track, or whether the deniers or the fear mongers are right. ![]() What's different about our models?
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Yes, it does. See article in The Atlantic: You're Showering Too Much. You may want to use a moisturing cream. My dermatologist recommended CeraVe. It's a creme. I tried it. But I wound up using Okeefe's Skin Repair Lotion as it covers large areas, has a handy squirt dispenser, and works as well or better. Same price at Amazon and Walmart. |
Humidifier – COVID-19 spreads much faster in
low humidity. If you live in a desert, or
a cold climate
where heating reduces humidity, and someone in your household is sick,
you’ve
probably already thought of wearing masks and gloves.
But did you think if using a humidifier?
Most of them are not very good. Be
sure to get a good one. Usually available in department or
discount stores, or by
mail order: · This one has a 5-star rating, for large rooms, quiet, as low a price as any (I justs bought one, in winter they may sell out) Non-contact
temperature gun –
This device is the modern way to take
anyone’s temperature. Fast and if you
get a good one, accurate. Also available in most drug stores,
or by mail order: |
Note: Only World, US, Texas, Mississippi, Colorado, Argentina are being updated while I am on vacation in August - there is some updated data in the others, but not unlock profiles, etc. World:
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() US States: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Texas ![]() ![]()
Twenty
country and state profiles,
many updated today!
Request a country or state profile using our contact form . . . |
Spreading
Rate:![]()
Featured profiles of the day: Texas (high economic recovery) - China ![]() |
Describes
model assumptions and use - View
Paper Discusses how to avoid unnecessary deaths from overshoot. |
- Excel
spreadsheet with all country data and all US states, updated with
current data
(7/16/2020), Get user guide. |
Webcam – It is essential to keep in touch
with family and friends while
isolating, and your school or business might require Zoom or Skye
meetings. If you have an old webcam like
I did recently, you have no idea how they have improved.
Both sound and picture are much better. The better webcams
are $100-$200 and mostly out of stock! I have a Logitec that works great,
but it is always on my wife’s
computer. Are their any decent webcams
for less? I looked at a bunch under
$40. Most have some problem if you read
the reviews closely. This was the only
one I saw without a big negative in the reviews. I
got mine and picture is excellent, sound okay. |
Top Articles &
Info For full list of articles see list at right. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() COVID-19
US Forecasting Using We
can help you
forecast your area
using the homoestasis principle, robust to unknowns. People will
make it true. Request a
region profile .
Animate: Unlock initial 0-20%, Mortality improvement 0 to 75% in September, Case ratio 7 to 30, R0 1.5 to 4, Immunity wear off 90 to 630 days, Vaccine effectiveness 0-70%, Seasonality 0-40%. What
is Risk Homeostasis? How
do we achieve prediction stability? Notice
how the total cases (blue dots) follows the population immunity
threshold (yellow) which varies with seasonality and degree of unlock
(reopening or easing)? Total cases are pulled toward that
line. They won't wander far off. The line is maneuvered by
the step unlocks so that public risk perception remains constant
(homeostasis). We believe social feedback will cause people to
lock down if risk goes up and vice versa, negative feedback creating
stability Cases (red dots) increase slightly while
critical cases (orange dashes) decline, preserving a stable risk
perception, i.e. risk homeostasis.
Home - All Papers Physics & Math - Economics & Society - Investing Radiation Tolerant CMOS - Patents - Software - Reviews Career Affiliation: NASA / Johnson Space Center - NASA profile ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0002-6129-6867 Subscribe or Contact: ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
About 2% per month improvement. In our model we postulate half of this is from increased testing to find less critical cases, and half genuine improvement. If so deaths per case will be 75% less by fall, making it advantageous to put off cases. ![]() Online Interactive Model by Dyske Suematsu This is more or less the same model as in the spreadsheet, but without the ability to control seasonality and a few other advanced features. But very easy to use and you don't have to import data. It is automatically accessed for most countries, states, and some smaller regions. ![]() Open with preset parameters: US, India, Brazil, Russia, Texas, New York State, . . . To save your modifications, copy the URL from Dyske's window. ![]() ![]()
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