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Worldwide COVID-19 Status
Things you might need |
TRANSMISSION RATE (R0)
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ECONOMIC RECOVERY POTENTIAL
SEASONALITY
– POPULATION – Risk of Dying
TRAVEL
ADVISORY (MODERATE RECOVERY)
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Pulse Oximeter – People do not realize they are not getting enough oxygen. They don’t struggle to breathe. But blood oxygen plummets into low 80s or
70s and they are too far gone before seeking help. Read reviews and get one that is reliable
and accurate.
These are available in most drug stores, or by mail
order: Also useful at high altitude, if you have pneumonia, etc. |
MORTALITY
TREND
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MODERATELY
PACED UNLOCK – deaths & economic cost 2nd line
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Non-contact
temperature gun – This device is the modern way to take
anyone’s temperature. Fast and if you
get a good one, accurate.
Also available in most drug stores, or by mail
order: ·
Lowest priced 5-star review we could find |
SLOW
UNLOCK (vaccine starting Dec. 1, 2020)
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SLOW
UNLOCK (vaccine starting April 1, 2021)
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Humidifier – COVID-19 spreads much faster in low humidity. If you live in a desert, or a cold climate
where heating reduces humidity, and someone in your household is sick, you’ve
probably already thought of wearing masks and gloves. But did you think if using a humidifier? Be sure to get a good one.
Usually available in department or discount stores,
mail order: This one has a 5-star rating, for large rooms,
quiet, as low a price as any (I just bought one, in winter
may sell out) |
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SUMMARY Russia is extremely stable. Mortality is trending normally and is very low. The numbers
aren’t trusted, but are likely to be close.
It is not possible to hide large numbers of deaths. My wife has relatives in Russia and is in
close communication with them. Russia has perhaps the highest seasonality factor in
the world
which has dictated their severe lockdown strategy. During the summer Russia should unlock and obtain some
economic recovery. Their transmission rate is
highly controlled. Whether they will follow
our recommendation we do not know. It
is a tossup right now. There is small travel risk now becoming moderate fall. However, it is not as bad as Texas where I
live. IHME projection
at left does not seem to go past summer and spreads out quickly to “unknown”
meaning they have no clue. Recommendation: MODERATE RECOVERY.
For Russia, given strong seasonality, this is not as moderate as some
countries. However, the profile we
suggest gives as much economic recovery as the US with one of the smallest risks
of dying in the world. |
